Here are the results of the four models that I had created to get results of What-If scenarios around COVID-19 (“corona”) virus using the data on hand as published officially as of 3/20/2020. Since we don’t have all the answers or even data for many variables, I hypothesized in such instances. For explanation of my […]
Blog
What-if Models (COVID-19): Models Explained
As a data and business analyst/scientist (what’s my title this week?), a geek, and a caring citizen of the world, I was curiously compelled to track the whole virus spread, its impact around the community, the world, and try to make some sense of it all. Specifically, in the interest of preparedness of ourselves and […]
COVID-19 Update 3-20-2020
3/20/2020 Update This includes the latest data (as of 3/19/20) published by WHO. I’ll add more summary and other statistics on my blog and will share those info if I get the time (no promises). To see my earlier blogs/stats on this COVID virus, click here. This is NOT looking good for USA! The # […]
COVID-19 Update 3-19-20
3/19/2020 Sharing some analytics and summary of the spread of the nasty virus. This includes the latest data (as of 3/18/20) published by WHO. I’ll add more summary and other statistics on my blog and will share those info as I get to them. Here’s a quick summary as of 3/19/2020 using all data in my […]
Visualization of COVID-19 spread (FYI only)
I’ve pulled in some data to understand the speed of spread and immensity of the “corona” virus. The data is based solely on daily situation report data from WHO’s site starting from January 20, 2020 to the time of this writing (March 18, 2020). NOTE: These are totals reported on that day (NOT new cases/day) […]
Tracking Actual vs. My Predictions 4/29/20
Back in March 2020, I did some predictive modeling using simple math and Excel where I presented 3 scenarios: Likely, Best-case, Worst-case. You can read the original blog here: What-If Models (COVID-19): Results Let’s take a look at today’s latest data from WHO and compare my Model 1: Likely Scenario numbers. We’ll compare the USA […]
How close were my initial models?
How close were my initial models? Let’s compare with today’s data. Take a look back on my educated-guess-but-not-official models that I created back in March 22, 2020: What-If Models (COVID-19): Results Today’s numbers for USA from WHO are (on 4/1/2020): # of confirmed cases (infected): 163,199 and confirmed deaths: 2,850 My four models were agnostic […]
Virus Wiping Away Toilet Papers in 2020!
Amazed (at the stupidity) and fascinated (by idiocy) by binge and panic shopper, I was compelled to ponder specifically about the toilet paper shortage in light of the recent pandemic (“corona virus”). This blog is will reflect on the reasoning provided by shoppers, and psychologists, a look at the economic statistics and realities of the […]